Seçilmiş Temel Göstergelerle Enerji Tüketiminin Çevresel Bozulma Üzerine Etkisi: Bir ARDL Yaklaşımı

Author :  

Year-Number: 2022-63
Yayımlanma Tarihi: 2022-10-02 17:27:06.0
Language : Türkçe
Konu : Uluslararası Ticaret ve Lojistik
Number of pages: 1565-1574
Mendeley EndNote Alıntı Yap

Abstract

Dünyanın sürekli bir gelişim ve değişim içerisinde olması, çevresel bozulma sorununu da beraberinde getirmektedir. Yeni sanayileşen ülkelerin hızlı gelişimi, sınırlı olan doğal kaynakların kullanımını zorunlu kılmaktadır. Bunun neticesinde kirliliğe ve çevresel bozulmaya yol açan daha fazla kalıntı ve atık doğaya salınmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’deki ekonomik büyüme, dışa açıklık, endüstriyel gelişim ve ulaşım sektörü enerji tüketimi ile çevresel bozulma arasındaki bağlantıyı araştırmaktır. Çalışmada 1987-2018 yıllarına ait veriler, Dünya Bankası veri tabanından elde edilmiştir. Analizde ARDL modelinden yararlanılmıştır. Bu kapsamda öncelikli olarak serilerin durağanlığını tespit için Phillips-Perron (PP) birim kök testine başvurulmuştur. Analiz sonuçlarına göre, ekonomik büyüme, dışa açıklık, endüstriyel gelişim ve ulaşım sektörü enerji tüketimi ile çevresel bozulma arasında eş bütünleşme olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca ulaşım sektöründe enerji tüketimi, ekonomik büyüme, endüstriyel gelişim ve ticari dışa açıklık ile çevresel bozulma arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin olduğu görülmüştür.

Keywords

Abstract

The fact that the world is in a constant development and change, brings with the problem of environmental degradation. The rapid development of newly industrialized countries obliges the use of limited natural resources. As a result, more residues and wastes are exhaled to the nature, causing pollution and environmental degradation. The aim of this study is to investigate the linkage between economic growth, openness, industrial development and energy consumption in the transportation sector and environmental degradation in Turkey. In the study, the data for the years 1987-2018 were obtained from the World Bank database. In the analysis, Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root test was applied to determine the stationarity between the series. Based on the findings, the datasets were analyzed with the ARDL bounds test. As a result of the analysis, it has been determined that there is a cointegration between economic growth, openness, industrial development and energy consumption in transportation sector and environmental degradation, and there is a long-term relationship between transportation sector energy consumption in transportation sector, economic growth, industrial development and trade openness and environmental degradation.

Keywords


  • 1. Acaravcı, A. & Öztürk, I. (2010b). On the relationship between energy consumption, CO2 emissions and economic growth in Europe. Energy, 35(12), 5412-5420.

  • 2. Acaravcı, A. Öztürk, I., (2010a). Electricity consumption-growth nexus: evidence from panel data for transition countries. Energy Economics 32, 604–608.

  • 3. Akbostancı, E., Türüt-Aşık, S. & Tunç, G. İ. (2009). The relationship between income and environment in Turkey: is there an environmental Kuznets curve?. Energy policy, 37(3), 861-867.

  • 4. Al-Mulali, U. & Öztürk, I., (2015). The effect of energy consumption, urbanization, trade openness, industrial output, and the political stability on the environmental degradation in the MENA (Middle East and North African) region. Energy 84, 382–389.

  • 5. Ang, J. B. (2008). Economic development, pollutant emissions and energy consumption in Malaysia. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30(2), 271-278.

  • 6. Apergis, N. & Payne, J. E. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth: evidence from the Commonwealth of Independent States. Energy Economics, 31(5), 641-647.

  • 7. Apergis, N. & Payne, J. E. (2010a). Energy consumption and growth in South America: Evidence from a panel error correction model. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1421-1426.

  • 8. Apergis, N. & Payne, J. E. (2010b). The emissions, energy consumption, and growth nexus: evidence from the commonwealth of independent states. Energy policy, 38(1), 650-655.

  • 9. Azlina, A. A., Law, S. H. & Mustapha, N. H. N. (2014). Dynamic linkages among transport energy consumption, income and CO2 emission in Malaysia. Energy Policy, 73, 598-606.

  • 10. Balcılar, M., Özdemir, Z. A. & Arslantürk, Y. (2010). Economic growth and energy consumption causal nexus viewed through a bootstrap rolling window. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1398-1410.

  • 11. Belke, A. & Potrafke, N. (2012). Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? A panel data analysis for OECD countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 31(5), 1126-1139.

  • 12. Bozkurt, C., & Okumuş, İ. (2015). Türkiye’de Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Ticari Serbestleşme ve Nüfus Yoğunluğunun CO2 Emisyonu Üzerindeki Etkileri: Yapisal Kirilmali Eşbütünleşme Analizi. Mustafa Kemal Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 12(32), 23-35.

  • 13. Belloumi, M. (2009). Energy consumption and GDP in Tunisia: Cointegration and causality analysis. Energy policy, 37(7), 2745-2753.

  • 14. Brown, R. L., Durbin, J. & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), 37(2), 149

  • 15. Chandran, V. G. R., & Tang, C. F. (2013). The impacts of transport energy consumption, foreign direct investment and income on CO2 emissions in ASEAN-5 economies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 24, 445-453.

  • 16. Chang, C. C. & Carballo, C. F. S. (2011). Energy conservation and sustainable economic growth: The case of Latin America and the Caribbean. Energy policy, 39(7), 4215-4221.

  • 17. DB (T.C. Dışişleri Bakanlığı). (2022). Türkiye’nin Uluslararası Enerji Stratejisi. https://www.mfa.gov.tr/turkiye_nin-enerji-stratejisi.tr.mfa, Erişim Tarihi: 29.04.2022.

  • 18. Destek, M. A. (2015). Energy consumption, economic growth, financial development and trade openness in Turkey: Maki cointegration test. Bulletin of Energy, 3, 162-168.

  • 19. Destek, M. A. & Sinha, A. (2020). Renewable, non-renewable energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and ecological footprint: Evidence from organisation for economic Co-operation and development countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 242, 118537, 1-11.

  • 20. Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 251-276.

  • 21. ETKB (T.C. Enerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakanlığı) (2022). İklim Değişikliği ve Uluslararası Müzakereler. https://enerji.gov.tr/bilgi-merkezi-iklim-degisikligi-ve-uluslararasi-muzakereler Erişim Tarihi: 29.04.2022.

  • 22. Fallahi, F. (2011). Causal relationship between energy consumption (EC) and GDP: a Markov-switching (MS) causality. Energy, 36(7), 4165-4170.

  • 23. Gökmenoğlu, K. & Taşpınar, N. (2016). The relationship between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, economic growth and FDI: the case of Turkey. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 25(5), 706-723.

  • 24. Grossman, G. M. & Krueger, A. B. (1991). Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement. National Bureau of Economics Research Working Paper, No. 3194, NBER, Cambridge.

  • 25. Halıcıoğlu, F. (2009). An econometric study of CO2 emissions, energy consumption, income and foreign trade in Turkey. Energy policy, 37(3), 1156-1164.

  • 26. Hamit-Haggar, M. (2012). Greenhouse gas emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: A panel cointegration analysis from Canadian industrial sector perspective. Energy Economics, 34(1), 358

  • 27. Huang, B. N., Hwang, M. J. & Yang, C. W. (2008). Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP growth revisited: a dynamic panel data approach. Ecological economics, 67(1), 41-54.

  • 28. IEA (International Energy Agency). https://www.iea.org/countries/turkey Erişim Tarihi: 29.04.2022

  • 29. Iwata, H., Okada, K. & Samreth, S. (2010). Empirical study on the environmental Kuznets curve for CO2 in France: the role of nuclear energy. Energy policy, 38(8), 4057-4063.

  • 30. Jalil, A. & Mahmud, S. F. (2009). Environment Kuznets curve for CO2 emissions: a cointegration analysis for China. Energy policy, 37(12), 5167-5172.

  • 31. Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration-with appucations to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 52(2), 169-210.

  • 32. Katırcıoğlu, S. T. & Taşpınar, N. (2017). Testing the moderating role of financial development in an environmental Kuznets curve: empirical evidence from Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68, 572-586.

  • 33. Kızılkaya, O., Sofuoğlu, E., & Çoban, O. (2016). Ekonomik büyüme, enerji tüketimi ve çevre kirliliği analizi: Türkiye örneği. Kırıkkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 6(2), 255-272.

  • 34. Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. The American economic review, 45(1), 1-

  • 35. Lean, H. H. & Smyth, R. (2010). On the dynamics of aggregate output, electricity consumption and exports in Malaysia: evidence from multivariate Granger causality tests. Applied Energy, 87(6), 1963

  • 36. Lee, C. C. (2005). Energy consumption and GDP in developing countries: a cointegrated panel analysis. Energy Economics, 27, 415-427.

  • 37. Lee, C. C. (2006). The causality relationship between energy consumption and GDP in G-11 countries revisited. Energy policy, 34(9), 1086-1093.

  • 38. Lee, C. C. & Chang, C. P. (2007). Energy consumption and GDP revisited: a panel analysis of developed and developing countries. Energy economics, 29(6), 1206-1223.

  • 39. Lee, C. C. & Chang, C. P. (2008). Energy consumption and economic growth in Asian economies: a more comprehensive analysis using panel data. Resource and energy Economics, 30(1), 50-65.

  • 40. Lise, W. & Van Montfort, K. (2007). Energy consumption and GDP in Turkey: Is there a co‐integration relationship?. Energy economics, 29(6), 1166-1178.

  • 41. Lucas, R. E., Wheeler, D. & Hettige, H. (1992). Economic development, environmental regulation, and the international migration of toxic industrial pollution, 1960-88 (Vol. 1062). World Bank Publications.

  • 42. Mahadevan, R. & Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2007). Energy consumption, economic growth and prices: A reassessment using panel VECM for developed and developing countries. Energy policy, 35(4), 2481

  • 43. Mehrara, M. (2007). Testing the purchasing power parity in oil‐exporting countries. OPEC review, 31(4),

  • 44. Menyah, K. & Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2010). CO2 emissions, nuclear energy, renewable energy and economic growth in the US. Energy policy, 38(6), 2911-2915.

  • 45. Mishra, V., Sharma, S. & Smyth, R. (2009). Are fluctuations in energy consumption per capita transitory? Evidence from a panel of Pacific Island countries. Energy Policy, 37(6), 2318-2326.

  • 46. Narayan, P. K. (2005). The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests. Applied economics, 37(17), 1979-1990.

  • 47. Narayan, P. K. & Smyth, R. (2008). Energy consumption and real GDP in G7 countries: new evidence from panel cointegration with structural breaks. Energy Economics, 30(5), 2331-2341.

  • 48. Nasir, M. & Rehman, F. U. (2011). Environmental Kuznets curve for carbon emissions in Pakistan: an empirical investigation. Energy policy, 39(3), 1857-1864.

  • 49. Nathaniel, S. Nwodo, O., Sharma, G., & Shah, M. (2020). Renewable energy, urbanization, and ecological footprint linkage in CIVETS. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(16), 19616

  • 50. Nohman, A. & Antrobus, G. (2005). Trade and the environmental Kuznets curve: is Southern Africa a pollution heaven. South African Journal of Economics, 73, 803-814.

  • 51. OECD, ITF Transport Outlook 2017. https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/transport/itf-transport-outlook- 2017_9789282108000-en#page1 Erişim Tarihi: 30.04.2022

  • 52. Oh, W. & Lee, K. (2004). Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP revisited: the case of Korea 1970–1999. Energy economics, 26(1), 51-59.

  • 53. Öztürk I. & Acaravcı A. (2013). The long-run and causal analysis of energy, growth, openness and financial development on carbon emissions in Turkey. Energy Economics 2013; 36: 262–267.

  • 54. Öztürk, I. & Acaravcı, A. (2010b). The causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP in Albania, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania: Evidence from ARDL bound testing approach. Applied Energy, 87(6), 1938-1943.

  • 55. Öztürk, I. & Acaravcı, A. (2010c). CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14(9), 3220-3225.

  • 56. Öztürk, I., Aslan, A. & Kalyoncu, H. (2010a). Energy consumption and economic growth relationship: Evidence from panel data for low and middle income countries. Energy Policy, 38(8), 4422-4428.

  • 57. Pao, H. T. & Tsai, C. M. (2010). CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in BRIC countries. Energy policy, 38(12), 7850-7860.

  • 58. Pesaran, M. H. & Pesaran, B. (1997). Working with microfit 4.0. Camfit Data Ltd, Cambridge.

  • 59. Pesaran, M. H. & Shin, Y. (1999). An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. S. Storm (Ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

  • 60. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y. & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.

  • 61. Sarı, R. & Soytas, U. (2009). Are global warming and economic growth compatible? Evidence from five OPEC countries?. Applied Energy, 86(10), 1887-1893.

  • 62. Shahbaz, M., Tang, C. F. & Shabbir, M. S. (2011). Electricity consumption and economic growth nexus in Portugal using cointegration and causality approaches. Energy policy, 39(6), 3529-3536.

  • 63. Sibanda, M. & Ndlela, H. (2020). The link between carbon emissions, agricultural output and industrial output: evidence from South Africa. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 21(2), 301-316.

  • 64. Soytas, U., Sari, R. & Ewing, B. T. (2007). Energy consumption, income, and carbon emissions in the United States. Ecological Economics, 62(3-4), 482-489.

  • 65. Soytaş, U. & Sarı, R. (2003). Energy consumption and GDP: causality relationship in G-7 countries and emerging markets. Energy economics, 25(1), 33-37.

  • 66. Suri, V. & Chapman, D. (1998). Economic growth, trade and energy: implications for the environmental Kuznets curve. Ecological economics, 25(2), 195-208.

  • 67. Şeker, F. Ertuğrul, H. M., & Çetin, M. (2015). The impact of foreign direct investment on environmental quality: a bounds testing and causality analysis for Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy

  • 68. Tsani, S. Z. (2010). Energy consumption and economic growth: A causality analysis for Greece. Energy Economics, 32(3), 582-590.

  • 69. Uluslararası Enerji Ajansı (2022). World Energy Balances Highlights. https://www.iea.org/data-and- statistics/data-product/world-energy-statistics-and-balances Erişim Tarihi: 07.04.2022.

  • 70. Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth: the experience of African countries revisited. Energy Economics, 31(2), 217-224.

  • 71. Wyckoff, A. W. & Roop, J. M. (1994). The embodiment of carbon in imports of manufactured products: implications for international agreements on greenhouse gas emissions. Energy policy, 22(3), 187-194.

  • 72. Yavuz, N. Ç. (2014). CO2 emission, energy consumption, and economic growth for Turkey: evidence from a cointegration test with a structural break. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 9(3), 229-235.

  • 73. Yurtkuran, S. (2020). Türkiye’de Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi Hipotezi’nin Testi: Temiz Enerji Tüketimi’nin Rolü. Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 22(2), 570-589.

  • 74. Zhang, X. P. & Cheng, X. M. (2009). Energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in China. Ecological economics, 68(10), 2706-2712.

  • 75. Zhang, Y-J. (2011). The impact of financial development on carbon emissions: an empirical analysis in China. Energy Policy 2011;39: 2197–2203.

  • 76. Zhang, C. & Xu, J. (2012). Retesting the causality between energy consumption and GDP in China: Evidence from sectoral and regional analyses using dynamic panel data. Energy Economics, 34(6), 1782

  • 77. Zhang, Q., Jiang, X., Tong, D., Davis, S.J., Zhao, H., Geng, G., et al., (2017), Transboundary health impacts of transported global air pollution and international trade. Nature 543, 705–709.

                                                                                                                                                                                                        
  • Article Statistics